Bibliography
Sources
All claims in the analysis cite one or more of these sources. Federal data (U.S. Courts, USDA ERS, Federal Reserve) are primary; AFBF Market Intel synthesizes court data annually and is the primary secondary source for state-level breakdowns.
Sources
Primary government sources
- U.S. Courts — Bankruptcy Filings Statistics — quarterly and annual Chapter 12 filing counts.
- Epiq AACER — April 2026 Commercial Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filings (May 6, 2026) — monthly Chapter 12 totals: 62 filings in April 2026 (+130% YoY), 34 in March 2026.
- U.S. Courts — Chapter 12 Bankruptcy Basics — eligibility, debt limits, process.
- USDA ERS — Farm Sector Income & Finances — net farm income, debt, asset, and forecast data.
- USDA ERS — Farm Income and Wealth Statistics — primary historical income and balance-sheet data files.
- USDA ERS — Highlights from the Farm Income Forecast — current forecast summary.
- USDA ERS — Chapter 12 Bankruptcy Rates Have Increased in Most Agricultural States (Nov 2021) — state-level rate analysis.
- USDA ERS — Farm sector Chapter 12 bankruptcies in 2022 lowest since 2004 — long-term filings chart.
- USDA NASS — Census of Agriculture — 2017 and 2022 farm counts.
- USDA ERS — Number of U.S. farms falls below 2 million (2022 Census).
- Congressional Research Service — Farm Debt and Chapter 12 Bankruptcy Eligibility (IN11073).
Federal Reserve and credit data
- FRED — Delinquency Rate on Loans to Finance Agricultural Production, All Commercial Banks (DRFAPGACBS).
- Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City — Farm Debt at Ag Banks Climbed in 2024.
- Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City — Farm Debt Grows and Delinquencies Rise Modestly.
- S&P Global — US bank agricultural delinquencies spike in Q1 2025.
American Farm Bureau Federation — Market Intel series
- Farm Bankruptcies Continued to Climb in 2025 (Feb 2026).
- 2024 Farm Bankruptcies Highlight Worsening Farm Credit (Feb 2025).
- Farm Bankruptcies Down… For Now (2024 analysis of 2023).
- Farm Bankruptcies Fall Again in 2022.
- Farm Bankruptcies Down Dramatically in 2021.
- Farm Bankruptcies During 2020.
- The Verdict Is In: Farm Bankruptcies Up in 2019.
- Farm Bankruptcies in 2018 — The Truth is Out There.
- What is Chapter 12 Family Farmer Bankruptcy?.
- USDA Cuts 2025 Farm Income as Weakness Persists into 2026.
Academic and extension sources
- Southern Ag Today — Tracking Chapter 12 Bankruptcies in the South: 2015–2025.
- Southern Ag Today — Financial State of Chapter 12 Bankruptcy Filings (Feb 2023).
- University of Arkansas Fryar Risk Center — Chapter 12 Bankruptcies in Arkansas and the U.S..
- Mississippi State University Extension — Understanding Chapter 12 Bankruptcy for Agricultural Producers.
- National Agricultural Law Center — Bankruptcy Overview.
- Vermont Law — Reorganizing a Farm Business with Chapter 12 of the Bankruptcy Code.
- Iowa State CALT — President Signs Family Farmer Relief Act into Law.
- Purdue Center for Commercial Agriculture — Rising Farm Debt and Financial Stress (Feb 2026).
- Choices Magazine — Labor and Interest Expenses of American Farms and Ranches (Q4 2025).
2026 outlook and forecast
- USDA ERS — Highlights from the Farm Income Forecast (Feb 2026).
- USDA ERS — U.S. net farm income to increase in 2025 and decrease slightly in 2026.
- DTN Progressive Farmer — USDA Projects Lower 2026 Farm Income, Slashes 2025 Numbers (Feb 2026).
- Agweek — USDA lowers farm income forecast for 2025 and 2026.
- AFBF Market Intel — USDA Cuts 2025 Farm Income as Weakness Persists into 2026.
- AFBF Market Intel — Farmers Urgently Need Economic Assistance (Nov 2025).
- Farm Policy News — Farm Income to Fall in 2026 Despite Hefty Govt Payments.
- Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City — Larger Operating Loans Boost Farm Lending Activity in 2025.
- Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City — Update on Agricultural Credit Conditions (Feb 2026).
- Purdue Center for Commercial Agriculture — 2026 Agricultural Credit Outlook.
- Adams & Reese / JD Supra — Rising Farm Distress: Preparing for Increased Agriculture Bankruptcies in 2026–2027.
- Adams & Reese — Rising Farm Distress: Agriculture Bankruptcies 2026-2027.
- Mondaq — Rising Farm Distress: Preparing for Increased Agriculture Bankruptcies 2026–2027.
- DTN Progressive Farmer — Rollins Says Farmer Aid Package Imminent and Chinese Soybean Purchases Underway.
- USDA — Trump Administration Announces $12 Billion Farmer Bridge Payments (Dec 8, 2025) — payment rates: $44.36/acre corn, $30.88/acre soybeans; payments began Feb 28, 2026; enrollment closed Apr 17, 2026.
- Capital Press — Farm bankruptcies surge, but remain below peak levels (April 29, 2026).
- Capital Press — Specialty crop alliance, Farm Bureau urge more aid from Congress (Jan 2026).
- KCUR — More American farmers are filing for bankruptcy. Here's why (March 2026).
- MPR News — More farmers in America are filing for bankruptcy (March 2026).
- Altoona Mirror — Farmers hit hard by rising costs; bankruptcies increase (April 2026).
Trade press and news (for state-level color and recent context)
- Farm Policy News (U. of Illinois) — U.S. Farm Bankruptcies Increased 46% in 2025.
- Farm Policy News — Farm Bankruptcies Increased 55% in 2024.
- Investigate Midwest — Farm bankruptcies jumped 46% in 2025.
- Investigate Midwest — Farmer bankruptcies doubled in 2024.
- Bloomberg — Trade Wars, Rates Push US Small Farm Bankruptcies to 5-Year High (July 2025).
- Fortune — Farm bankruptcies are soaring amid low crop prices, Trump considers $14B bailout (Oct 2025).
- Marketplace — Farm bankruptcies on the rise as Trump tariffs loom (April 2025).
- Bloomberg Law — Trump Policies Add to Farming Distress as Bankruptcies Increase.
- Ag Proud — Chapter 12 farm bankruptcy filings up 46% in 2025.
- Ag Proud — Chapter 12 farm bankruptcy filings up 55% in 2024.
- Ag Proud — Chapter 12 farm bankruptcy filings down in 2023.
- Wisconsin State Farmer — Wisconsin continues to lead U.S. in farm bankruptcies (2020 reporting).
- University of Arkansas — Arkansas led nation in Chapter 12 farm bankruptcy filings in 2025.
- Get Out Of Debt Guy — Minnesota Lost 1,300 Farms in 2025.
- Wikipedia — Trump administration farmer bailouts — context on MFP/CFAP scale.